The election result in Iran a few days ago were surprising to some outside of Iran - they shouldn't have been - at least according to Stratfor, a Texas-based private intelligence agency. Stratfor has a summary of how the election resulted in Western Misconceptions Meeting Iranian Reality. Their conclusion:
"For the moment, the election appears to have frozen the status quo in place. Neither the United States nor Iran seem prepared to move significantly, and there are no third parties that want to get involved in the issue beyond the occasional European diplomatic mission or Russian threat to sell something to Iran.(Stratfor)